Concept · Seed idea · last reconsidered August 17, 2026

Correlated error

A failure mode in which multiple supposedly independent checks share the same underlying blind spot.

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Source

Correlated error occurs when errors across ostensibly independent parts of a system are not actually independent, because they share a common cause or a common blind spot.

Interpretation

This project is interested in correlated error as a risk specific to automated and delegated systems: when many outputs trace back to a shared model or shared assumption, their apparent independence can be illusory.

Caution

Identifying correlated error requires knowing the internal workings of a system well enough to see the shared cause, which is often not available from the outside.

Connected ideas

related to

  • Distributed knowledgeConcept

    Distributed knowledge is one defense against correlated error; when sources of judgment converge, error correlates too.

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